A new set of odds have been released for the 2020 United States presidential election, and Republicans will be happy to know that President Donald J. Trump is still in a position to win in a landslide — and even further now with the numbers.
Just a couple of months ago, President Trump was sitting at +175 in the odds provided by the best US betting sites with voting time only a year and a half out. Today, Trump sits at a dead EVEN, an even bigger advantage in the odds over Joe Biden.
As far as Biden is concerned, he continues to separate himself from the rest of his competition within the Democrat Party — he currently sits at +425.
I don’t care if you love Trump or hate him, you have to respect his re-election campaign. He’s an absolute force (along with the RNC) in fundraising, and he’s also got massive loyalty from the Republican Party with an approval rating over the 90% mark. Despite the constant controversy that surrounds the president and consistent attacks from the mainstream media, Trump has continued to shine — and increasing in the odds, at that.
The second-favorite in the odds is Joe Biden, former Vice President to Barack Obama. “Uncle Joe” currently sits at +425, and this has been the only spot and peak for Biden ever since he’s officially entered the race. Before he declared, the No. 2 position was shared between Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, and Beto O’Rourke.
When Biden decided to run for president, he would immediately shoot up to second in the odds and first in the Democrat primaries due to his popularity of being the former VP. His advantage of having the Obama coalition on his side will obviously make him a tough cookie to beat, but we have witnessed him lose some steam in the polls as time has gone along — only time will tell with this one. In the odds, at least for right now, Biden is the heavy favorite to take the Democrat nomination to head off against President Trump.
Someone who has interested me throughout the beginning of the campaign has been Democrat candidate Beto O’Rourke. When things kicked off, he would become a media darling, make millions through fundraising, and that would have him shoot up to +600 in the odds. Since then, however, it’s been nothing but a disaster, and he’s dropped all the way down to +3500 now. He’s just a strange guy, and America obviously feels the same.
Another rising star in the Democrat Party who could eventually suffer a burn out is Kamala Harris from California, For the time being, however, she’s doing fine staying afloat due to the support from multiple celebrities. The most notable is Ellen DeGeneres, who has been pushing an aggressive campaign to see Harris as the first female president of the United States of America.
Back to that potential burn out for Harris, don’t be surprised to see it happen soon. As the Democrat Party field continues to grow, her media exposure continues to decline. Her current +1200 odds could drop off, but she could retain her spot in the top five with sixth place Andrew Yang at +2000 odds.
The first debate of the Democrat primaries will be a two-night event on June 26 and June 27, and will be nationally televised on NBC at 9:00 PM ET on both nights. With the field being a total of 20 candidates, the Democrats have decided to split the nights between them — 10 candidates per night.
Here is the full list of candidates that will be debating for the Democrat nomination, and listed with the night that they’ll be debating:
NIGHT ONE (JUNE 26)
NIGHT TWO (JUNE 27)
Get your popcorn ready. This is going to be an absolute show.
RESUME:
*There are many more awards than listed that Trump has won.
The president is sitting pretty in the odds right now for his re-election campaign in 2020, but there seems to be a problem in the polling with Trump. At first, many Republicans (including myself) dismissed him being down to Democrats in the polls done by the mainstream media — this after Hillary Clinton had over a 90% chance to win in most in 2016 and lost.
However, polls from within the Trump campaign are showing losing numbers as well. A leak that would cost multiple internal pollsters their jobs, data from the Trump campaign has shown that he’s down in multiple battleground states, including Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Florida, and the margins are wide as well. We’ll have to see more develop with this situation here because campaign manager Brad Parscale is saying that the numbers are ancient and they’ve swung heavily in the favor of the president since then.
Trump is also partaking in some other stress at the moment as well that he’ll have to be careful with, as both situations can effect his numbers in the polling. One was a hiccup during an interview with ABC News’ George Stephanopoulos, where he said he would take a meeting with a foreign adversary to get opposition research on a candidate in the election. The other, the main one, is the tension going on in the Middle East right now with Iran. The most recent case has been the attacks on American-linked oil tankers. President Trump has said that Iran is responsible, while Iran is denying those allegations. It’ll be interesting to see how Trump responds to potential combat.
As of right now though, President Trump is sitting pretty in the odds at EVEN to win re-election, and I’d still bet on him if I were you despite the latest news. From what I see, the support is out of this world for Trump, and I don’t see any Democrat candidate with those kinds of numbers behind them at their rallies like the president does — I’ve been to one, it’s like a rock concert. Ride with Trump.
President Trump and Joe Biden have been in a war of words, but Biden calling the president an “existential threat” to the United States may be hurting him more than helping him. Biden has been making an effort to try and balance that out, however, saying that he would work with Republicans if he were elected as president.
And it seems to be balancing out well for the former vice president. Multiple polls are showing that Biden has a dominating lead over Trump, and with internal polls from the Trump campaign showing similar numbers to the mainstream media, Biden is sitting pretty, at least for now, in the polls. Unfortunately for Biden, it’s not reflecting in the odds, and this is mainly due to still being a good length away from November 2020 — that, and the Biden campaign and the DNC just don’t have the funding that Trump and the RNC have at the moment. Despite the latest revelations, I still have Trump as the favorite — overwhelmingly.
But Biden has other positive news to boast about. He’s got the support of Anita Hill, who said she would back the president even though Biden would hammer her case against current-Supreme Court Clarence Thomas. This should help him a bit among the progressive base, as well as him going after Corporate America.
Bernie Sanders claims we need a “political revolution,” which would result in massive change to the economic system here in the United States — better known as socialism. Shrugging off his dropping in polling, the senator would combat his critics calling him ‘radical’ in a press conference and swears up and down that he will fight the “right-wing extremism” rhetoric against him. That might work all good and well with the progressive base, but I don’t see it working out in a general election. After all, socialism is borderline-communism.
Despite his drop in the polls against his Democrat candidates, however, Sanders is doing fantastic in polling against President Trump — the ‘Democratic Socialist’ has a nine-point lead over POTUS. Going forward, Sanders will need to focus on bringing in moderate voters into his campaign if he wants to beat Democrat competition like Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren. If he can do so, Bernie Sanders could very well be the next president of the United States — at least according to the data, I think voter enthusiasm has to go in the favor of Trump. With that being said, I’d still take the president in a general election against Sanders.
You have to respect Bernie though. He stands up for what he believes in and fights aggressively to do it, preaching about a new time when we enact policies from an old time like the Franklin D. Roosevelt era, have an “Economic Bill of Rights”, and have economic equality and prosperity for everyone. This while going after corporations, the rich and the “one percent.” There’s just one problem with all of this, however, and it’s something that Sanders will have to face as the campaign progresses: Hypocrisy. It’s one of the reasons why he’s losing steam in the polls. You can’t go after rich people and wealth, when you yourself are partaking in said riches and wealth. I don’t see Bernie Sanders getting that magic that he had back in 2016, but expect a base to always be there, and as a result, he’ll always be lingering among the favorites in the odds the entire campaign season — or at least until he is forced to drop out, which I see happening late in the Democrat primaries.
Mayor Pete Buttigieg has been making waves his entire campaign, both with fundraising and voter enthusiasm since the campaign has began, but he’s had to halt his operation for the time being after the latest developments. He would be forced to step off of the campaign trail and return back home to South Bend, Indiana to deal with a police shooting that involved a black man being killed.
With that being said, however, this obviously won’t effect his polling — well, at least with the Democrat base. Speaking of votes, he’ll have to figure out how to pull in conservatives and other parts of the populous that doesn’t agree with homosexuality — Buttigieg is openly gay. To American purists, he’s already failed at trying to smooth this over with voters on the right, saying that he wouldn’t be the first president of the United States because he’s sure that the country has already had a gay president. Politico reported that he pulled in a whopping $7 million in April alone, so it’ll be interesting to see if those kinds of statements hurt his June report or not.
No harm right now, and Buttigieg continues to make moves to improve his campaign. He would recently announce the hiring of Swati Mylavarapu, a tech executive and investor out of Silicon Valley, to help his campaign turn from a “startup” to “a little disruptive” and “kind of entrepreneurial.” It seems like a power move to me, especially in this modern day of social media and technology. Don’t be surprised to see Buttigieg’s numbers shoot up in the near future because of it.
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