The Green Bay Packers hit the road and take on the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium on Thursday night.
Green Bay could use a big road win here as they have dropped two of three games since taking their bye week. The Packers surprisingly lost their last game against the Minnesota Vikings by six points. Meanwhile, the 49ers are also trying to get back on track after losing to divisional rival Seattle by 10 points in their last outing. San Francisco has won two out of the last three meetings between these two teams including a big 37-20 win in last season’s NFC championship game.
Let’s check these teams out and their odds, so we can have some fun betting on the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers look to right the ship after dropping two of three games since taking a bye week. The Packers are currently 5-2 on the season and are on top of the NFC North division team standings. In their last game, Green Bay dropped a 28-22 contest to division rivals Minnesota Vikings.
Aaron Rodgers completed 27 of 41 passes for 291 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Rodgers has thrown for 1,948 yards with 20 scores and only two picks this season. Davante Adams leads the receiving corps with 502 receiving yards on 43 catches with seven touchdowns. Aaron Jones leads the ground attack with 389 yards on 75 carries with five touchdowns. Green Bay’s rushing game is averaging 128.9 yards per outing and the team is ranked 4th in the league in scoring at 31.3 points per game this season.
On Defense, the Packers are allowing their opponents to score an average of 27.6 points per game while picking up an average of 346.6 yards of total offense. Krys Barnes leads Green Bay with 47 tackles while Za’Darius Smith has six sacks while Jaire Alexander has one interception this season.
The San Francisco 49ers have been inconsistent this season and they head to this home contest with a 4-4 record. San Francisco is at the bottom of the NFC West standings right now and they need to start picking up wins to move up the ladder. In their most recent outing, San Francisco lost 37-27 to their division leaders Seattle Seahawks.
With Jimmy G. dealing with an ankle injury, the 49ers turned to Nick Mullens the last time out. Mullens completed 18 of 25 passes for 238 yards with two touchdowns. Raheem Mostert leads the team on the ground with a total of 303 rushing yards with one touchdown. George Kittle is their top receiver with 474 yards from 37 catches with two TD grabs. However, Kittle has a small fracture on his foot that will cause him to miss this game. The 49ers are averaging 127 rushing yards per game and scoring 26.0 points per contest.
On defense, the 49ers are allowing only 21.6 points per game and 314.6 yards of total offense per outing. Fred Warner tops the team with 61 tackles while Kerry Hyder Jr. has 4.5 sacks this season. Meanwhile, Jamar Taylor has two interceptions for the 49ers.
Green Bay’s rush defense has been a problem since last season and it was a huge letdown in their last game which ended in a defeat to the Minnesota Vikings. In that game, the Packers’ run defense allowed Dalvin Cook to rush for 163 yards with three touchdowns. Offensively, they don’t have a problem as they are the 4th best scoring team in the league. However, Green Bay could be without Aaron Jones who is dealing with a calf strain. He’s missed their last two games and is listed as day to day.
San Francisco’s defense has been solid this season but their offense has been far from consistent. One problem for the 49ers is that this is a short week and with Jimmy Garropolo and George Kittle sidelined plus a banged-up backfield, finding steady could be an issue here although they put up 27 last week with Nick Mullens at the helm.
The Packers are 1-2 SU in their last three games since their bye week. Despite that, they still have the better team in this matchup. The 49ers have been inconsistent this season and they have struggled to find reliable offense for long stretches during games. That’s going to be more difficult on Thursday with the report that Jimmy G. and George Kittles will be sidelined much longer. Aaron Rodgers still remembers how San Francisco beat them in the NFC championship game last season and the revenge factor should be here for the Packers. I don’t think that the 49ers can keep up with the Packers here.
Prediction: Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played. The Packers are 2-1 ATS in three road games played this season. San Francisco is 4-4 ATS in eight games played this season. The 49ers are 1-3 ATS in their last four games played on the road but are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the NFC North division. Head to head, the 49ers are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Packers. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against Green Bay.
The 49ers have won the last two meetings between these two teams and they have outscored the Packers by 14.33 points per game in their last three head-to-head encounters. However, the quarterback situation in San Francisco is going to be the 49ers’ downfall here. Without Jimmy G, there’s no way San Francisco is beating Green Bay with Aaron Rodgers out for revenge after last season’s NFC title game loss. I like the Packers to win by at least a field goal and lay the small chalk here.
Prediction: Packers -2.5
The total has gone over in six out of the last nine games played by the Packers. The over is also 6-2 in their last eight games against the NFC. The total has gone under in eight out of the last 11 games played by the 49ers in week 9. The under is 4-2 in their last six games played at home, including 3-0 this season. Head to head, the total has gone over in eight out of the last 11 meetings between these two teams.
These teams have combined to score an average of 55.0 points per game in their last three meetings. The 49ers were still able to put up 27 points last weekend with Nick Mullens playing behind center. Green Bay is averaging 31.3 points per game this season, 4th best in the league. Sure, the 49ers are missing key offensive players but Green Bay is a high-scoring team this season. Look for the Packers to try and beat the 49ers with a better offense.
Prediction: Over 51
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