This three-game series is a crucial one for the wild card race in the National League. San Diego’s 1-0 win on Monday plus the triumph of the Giants and Marlins on the same day pushed the Rockies down half a game to 9th place in the playoff standings. San Diego then pummelled Colorado 14-5 in Game 2 on Tuesday. Now the Padres look to sweep the series and continue to threaten the Dodgers in the NL West standings.
Game time is at 8:10 p.m. at Petco Park.
The Rockies got off to a good start but they have since cooled off. Colorado is currently two games below the .500 mark and they are six games behind the Padres in the National League West team standings. In Game 2 of their series on Tuesday, the Rockies allowed 14 runs in a loss to the Padres, their sixth defeat in their last nine outings.
Colorado has split its last six games played and they have scored a total of 12 runs in their last three games played. The Rockies have scored four or more runs in six out of their last seven games played. They are 4-4 in their last eight games while scoring four or more runs this season.
Charlie Blackmon leads Colorado in batting average at .336 and he is the team leader in RBIs with 30. Trevor Story leads the team with 9 home runs with a total of 20 RBIs on the season. Nolan Arenado has 22 RBIs and Ryan McMahon has 18 RBIs with six home runs.
Antonio Sentazela will start for the Rockies in Game 3. The right-handed Sentazela has a 3-1 record this season with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.13. He has pitched in a total of 48.2 innings and has allowed a total of 48 hits with seven home runs. Sentazela has struck out 31 hitters and has walked 7 batters faced.
The Padres head to this game in good form. They have won seven out of their last nine games played and have beaten the Rockies in the first two games of this set. San Diego is four games off the National League West-leading L.A. Dodgers and they are coming off a huge 14-5 win over the Rockies on Tuesday.
Will Myers hit two home runs including a grand slam while Mike Clevenger looked impressive in his San Diego debut. The Padres have hit six grand slams since August 17th and they have won three in a row. They have scored 20 runs in their last three games and have put up four or more runs in 11 out of their last 14 outings.
Fernando Tatis leads San Diego with 39 RBIs and 15 home runs while Manny Machado has 37 RBIs and 12 dingers. After a big game on Tuesday, Will Myers increased his totals to 11 homers and 30 RBIs. Eric Hosmer has 32 RBIs but he was placed in the injured list with a broken index finger.
Zach Davies will open on top of the mound for the Padres. The right-hander is 6-2 on the season with an ERA of 2.23 and a WHIP 0.93. Davies has pitched 48.1 innings and has allowed 32 hits with four home runs. He has walked 13 batters and has struck out 42 hitters this season.
Colorado is 3-6 SU in their last nine games played. The Rockies are 2-2 SU in their last four games played on the road, and 3-6 SU in their last nine games played against the National League. San Diego is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. The Padres are 9-2 SU in their last five games played at home. Head to head, the Padres are 5-1 SU in their last six games played against the Rockies. San Diego is also 18-12 SU in 30 games as the betting favorite this season.
The San Diego Padres continue to play well and they should like their chances against the Rockies. Zach Davies has given up only 10 earned runs and 27 hits during his last 43.1 innings. Senzatela has pitched well against the Padres historically but despite that, it’s hard to go against the Padres’ current form. San Diego has won six out of their last eight meetings at their home field they are 4-1 SU in their last five Game 3s of a series.
Prediction: San Diego Padres -170
The Rockies are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games played. Colorado is 3-1 ATS in their last four games played on the road. The Padres are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played. San Diego is 11-8 ATS in 19 home games played this season.
Davies is on fire right now as he has thrown back to back scoreless games and has won his last four starts. Colorado has struggled with Senzatela on the mound as he is 1-8 in his last nine road starts against an opponent with a winning record. Overall, the Rockies are 2-9 in their last 11 road games. The Padres have a chance to widen the gap between second and third place in their division and they also have an opportunity to put the pressure on the Dodgers. I like the Padres’ chances of winning by more than one run here, especially with the plus money.
Prediction: Padres -1.5 (+115)
The total has gone over in five out of the last seven games played by the Rockies. The over is 4-2 in Colorado’s last six games played on the road. The total has gone under in four out of the last six games played by the Padres. The under is 5-4 in their last nine road games and the under is also 4-2 in their last six September games. Head to head, the total has gone over in eight out of the last 12 games played between these two teams. However, the under is 4-1 in their last five games played in San Diego.
Colorado has seen the total hit over in its last eight Game 3s of a series. The over is also 6-0-1 in Senzatela’s last seven starts in Game 3 of a series. Senzatela has also gone over in eight out of his last nine starts as a road underdog. The total has also gone over in the last six home games of San Diego against an opponent with a losing record. These are two teams who can put runs on the board in a hurry. I like the over in this games.
Prediction: Over 9 (+105)
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