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71st Primetime Emmy Awards Betting Odds and Predictions

Between the dates of June 1, 2018-May 31, 2019, television shows across the world have been competing for nominations and awards to be among the top in TV land, particularly with the Emmy Awards. Now that we’ve arrived into the month of September, the stage is set for the 71st annual Emmy Awards being held on Sunday, September 22. If you haven’t been paying attention, the past year of television has provided us a load of entertainment, and as a result, we have prop bets out in full-force for the upcoming award show.

The online betting site Bovada has been quick to pump out some betting options for the Emmy Awards, and it shouldn’t come as any surprise that the iconic Game of Thrones is leading the way with things. In total, the highly-rated show has pulled in a whopping 14 nominations and is nominated in literally all of the 10 major prop bets — their nomination tally lead all TV shows.

Instead of doing the normal thing and going through each show (which we will get to later), I want to start out by providing you a different way of betting when it comes to the Emmys.

Let’s go over the major prop bets and how you should bet them.

Do Not Bet on the Favorites. I Repeat, Do Not Bet on the Favorites

Before we go over how you should bet, I need to inform you that it is very important that you just keep this style of betting to these 10 prop bets:

  • Outstanding Drama Series
  • Outstanding Comedy Series
  • Outstanding Lead Actor — Drama
  • Outstanding Lead Actress — Drama
  • Outstanding Lead Actor — Comedy
  • Outstanding Lead Actress — Comedy
  • Outstanding Supporting Actor — Drama
  • Outstanding Supporting Actress — Drama
  • Outstanding Supporting Actor — Comedy
  • Outstanding Supporting Actress — Comedy

When you look at those categories, you see that every one has a clear favorite. For example, you have Sandra Oh for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series sitting at -275 odds, and then you another favorite such as Game of Thrones sitting at -400 to win Outstanding Drama Series. The strategy that you should implement is instead of taking the No. 1 favorite, take the next in line for profitability, and if you are going to take the top favorite, bet double what you were originally going to place. A good bet to place a wager on the next-up would be Killing Eve for Outstanding Drama Series at +500, those are the kinds of examples that I’m referring to.

Profitability Is the Name of the Game

Here is why you need to bet this way: It was done before with the 70th Primetime Emmy Awards in 2018, and it was massively profitable. When you scout the 2019 version of the Emmys, it’s looking like the same strategy can be applied, and why do you ask?

Out of the 10 categories that we just went over during the 2018 Emmys, underdogs would win awards in seven. When you examine those seven underdogs, you see that options that were listed No. 2 in the odds would take up six of those underdog spots.

For example:

Atlanta was the favorite at -150 odds to win the Outstanding Comedy Series, but The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel and their +135 second-place figure would steal the award. Speaking of Atlanta, you had Donald Glover as a huge favorite at -400 to land the Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series, but again, it would be the second-place top-dog Bill Hader and HBO’s Barry that would take the cake at +300 odds.

In 2018, if you would have bet $100 on each of the previously-mentioned 10 categories, you would have came away with a total of $2,300 in total profitability. Numbers don’t lie, this strategy has some massive value with it, so go ahead and implement this strategy in 2019. You’re sure to walk away with some cash.

However, even though the risk is worth it if you decide to place a wager, you may want to consider dismissing the strategy on the category for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series. This is because of the dominance of Julia Louis-Dreyfus for Veep. From 2012-2017, she would win the award for six consecutive years, and she’s the odds-on favorite to be the victor again sitting at -350. You should also be aware that the Outstanding Comedy Series award would go to Veep for three straight years from 2015-17, and they’re currently the favorite to take it once again in 2019 at EVEN.

Let’s go over some of the shows that are among the favorites to land either the Outstanding Drama Series or Outstanding Comedy Series, and that are also involved with the rest of the slate of awards.

Favorites to Win Outstanding Drama Series

Game of Thrones | Betting Odds: -400

Placed in the fictitious Seven Kingdoms of Westeros, as well as the continent of Essos, Game of Thrones is based on the narrative of ‘A Song of Ice and Fire’ by George R.R. Martin and created by David Benioff and D.B. Weiss as a fantasy and serial drama. Aired on HBO, the television series highlights the violent struggles for an ultimate dynasty between the realm’s top families for what is known as the Iron Throne. On the other end, you also have other families who are clinging for freedom from their control. Starring talent such as Eddard “Ned” Stark, Robert Baratheon and Jaime Lannister, Game of Thrones is up for a massive 14 Emmy nominations and is listed as the -400 favorite to take Outstanding Drama Series.

Killing Eve | Betting Odds: +500

Meet Villanelle, a beautiful woman, yet a psychopathic assassin. Meet Eve, an M16 operate who has been given the challenge of finding Villanelle. Together, they have a strong bond that is held by their obsession for one another, as well as a sole act of brutality in the past. The show is based on the Villanelle novel series by Luke Jennings and is classified as a drama, spy thriller, and dark comedy. Starring Sandra Oh, Jodie Comer, and Fiona Shaw, Killing Eve is nominated for a total of five nominations and is listed as the second-favorite favorite to take Outstanding Drama Series at +500 odds.

Better Call Saul | Betting Odds: +1200

A spin-off prequel of Vince Gilligan’s Breaking Bad and also created by Gilligan and Peter Gould, Better Call Saul is classified as a crime drama, black comedy, tragedy, and legal drama. Based in the 2000s and six years before the setting of Breaking Bad, the series follows Jimmy McGill (played by Bob Odenkirk), who is a small-time lawyer than transitioned from a con-man, and it shows yet another transition, and this time into criminal-for-hire Saul Goodman. Also starring Jonathan Banks, Rhea Seehorn and Patrick Fabian, Better Call Saul is up for a total of four Emmy nominations and is placed as the third-place favorite to take Outstanding Drama Series at +1200.

Ozark | Betting Odds: +1800

For the most part, the Byrdes and their teenage children, Jonah and Charlotte, are a normal family with a normal life with normal circumstances. Well, except for Marty Byrde, who just so happens to be a financial advisor in Chicago. Still normal, right? Yeah, he also happens to be the No. 1 money launderer for the second-biggest Mexican drug cartel. Created by Bill Dubuque and Mark Williams as an original Netflix series, the show is classified as a crime drama and thriller. Starring Jason Bateman, Laura Linney and Sofia Hublitz, Ozark has a total of five Emmy nominations and is the fourth-place favorite to take Outstanding Drama Series at +1800 odds.

This Is Us | Betting Odds: +2000

Created by Dan Fogelman and broadcasted on NBC, This Is Us is classified as a comedy-drama, romantic drama, family drama, and tragedy. The show chronicles two parents and their families and lives, as well as their three children, and this is shown over multiple time frames that are separated. This Is Us was nominated for a whopping 10 Emmys back in 2017, but only would grab one winning Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series. Starring Dan Fogelman, Jess Rosenthal, and Donald Todd, they’re nominated for a total of four Emmys in 2019 and are placed as the fifth-place favorite to take Outstanding Drama Series at +2000.

Favorites to Win Outstanding Comedy Series

Veep | Betting Odds: Even

Already a winner of a boat-load of awards, Veep is another HBO program starring Julia Louis-Dreyfus and is classified as an American political satire and comedy series. Created by Armando Iannucci, the show is centered in on a one-time Senator named Selina Meyer, who then gets elected as Vice President of the United States. With the help of not-so-smart staff, she tries to accomplish a legacy that holds strong in Washington D.C. Also starring Anna Chlumsky, Tony Hale and Reid Scott, Veep is near the double-digit mark in Emmy nominations with a total of nine and is listed as the EVEN favorite to take Outstanding Comedy Series.

The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel | Betting Odds: +250

Classified as both a comedy-drama and period drama created by Amy Sherman-Palladino, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel stars Rachel Brosnahan as a housewife in 1958 New York City named Miriam “Midge” Maisel. It’s during this time that Midge discovers that she has a talent for stand-up comedy. The series has already won several awards including from the Golden Globe Awards and, of course, the Emmys. Also starring Alex Borstein, Michael Zegen and Marin Hinkle, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel is nominated for a total of five Emmy awards and is listed as the second-place favorite to take Outstanding Comedy Series at +250.

Barry | Betting Odds: +350

Created by Alec Berg and Bill Hader, Barry is classified as a dark comedy, comedy-drama, crime and tragicomedy and is another HBO program in the mix. The series highlights Bill Hader as the main character who is starring as a hitman named Barry Berkman. From the midwest, Barry then travels out to Los Angeles, California to murder someone, and then he finds himself in Gene Cousineau’s (starred by Henry Winkler) acting class. Also starring Stephen Root, Sarah Goldberg and Glenn Fleshler, Barry is nominated for a total of six Emmy awards and is placed as the third-place favorite to take Outstanding Comedy Series sitting with +350 odds.

Fleabag | Betting Odds: +750

Coming overseas from the United Kingdom and broadcasted by BBC Three and Amazon Studios, Fleabag is a comedy-drama and tragicomedy created and written by Phoebe Waller-Bridge — Waller-Bridge also stars in the series as Fleabag, the title character. Fleabag is a woman who lives in London, and also happens to be sexually voracious, angry and confused. This show happens to be known for “breaking the fourth wall”, where the camera is spoken to by the protagonist. Also starring Sian Clifford, Olivia Colman and Bill Paterson, Fleabag is nominated for a total of five Emmys and is listed as the fourth-place favorite to take Outstanding Comedy Series at +750.

Russian Doll | Betting Odds: +4000

Another Netflix original, Russian Doll is created by Natasha Lyonne, Leslye Headland and Amy Poehler and is categorized as a comedy-drama and mystery. The show chronicles a game developer named Nadia Vulvokov (starred by Lyonne) dies over and over again just to relive the exact same night, well, over and over again, and she has tasked herself to figure out why and how to end it, all for her to find someone else in the same spot. Also starring Greta Lee, Yul Vazquez, and Charlie Barnett, Russian Doll is nominated for a total of three Emmys and is placed as the fifth-place favorite to take Outstanding Comedy Series at +4000 odds.

71st Emmy Awards Major Categories for Prop Bets

Outstanding Drama Series

  • Game of Thrones | -400
  • Killing Eve | +500
  • Better Call Saul | +1200
  • Ozark | +1800
  • This Is Us | +2000
  • Pose | +4000
  • Bodyguard | +4000
  • Succession | +6600

Outstanding Comedy Series

  • Veep | EVEN
  • The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel | +250
  • Barry | +350
  • Fleabag | +750
  • Russian Doll | +4000
  • The Good Place | +4000
  • Schitt’s Creek | +4000

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series

  • Billy Porter (Pose) | +120
  • Jason Bateman (Ozark) | +200
  • Bob Odenkirk (BCS) | +250
  • Kit Harington (GOT) | +2000
  • S.K. Brown (This Is Us) | +2000
  • M. Ventimiglia (This Is Us) | +2500

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series

  • Sandra Oh (Killing Eve) | -275
  • Emilia Clarke (GOT) | +500
  • Jodie Comer (Killing Eve) | +550
  • Laura Linney (Ozark) | +1300
  • Robin Wright (HOC) | +3300
  • V. Davis (How to Get Away With Murder) | +3500
  • Mandy Moore (This Is Us) | +4000

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

  • Bill Hader (Barry) | -350
  • M. Douglas (The Kominsky Method) | +300
  • E. Levy (Schitt’s Creek) | +1800
  • T. Danson (The Good Place) | +1800
  • D. Cheadle (Black Monday) | +2000
  • A. Anderson (Black-ish) | +4000

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Veep) | -350
  • P. Waller-Bridge (Fleabag) | +300
  • R. Brosnahan (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) | +850
  • N. Lyonne (Russian Doll) | +4000
  • Ch. Applegate (Dead to Me) | +4000
  • C. O’Hara (Schitt’s Creek) | +4000

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

  • T. Shalhoub (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) | +150
  • A. Arkin (The Kominsky Method) | +170
  • Henry Winkler (Barry) | +275
  • Tony Hale (Veep) | +1500
  • Anthony Carrigan (Barry) | +1800
  • Stephen Root (Barry) | +1800

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

  • A. Borstein (The Marvelous Mrs. Baisel) | +150
  • Olivia Colman (Fleabag) | +170
  • Anna Chlumsky (Veep) | +300
  • K. McKinnon (Saturday Night Live) | +1500
  • Sarah Goldberg (Barry) | +1500
  • Sian Clifford (Fleabag) | +1500
  • Betty Gilpin (GLOW) | +2000
  • M. Hinkle (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) | +2000

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

  • Peter Dinklage (GOT) | -300
  • J. Banks (Better Call Saul) | +400
  • Nikolaj Coster-Waldau (GOT) | +600
  • G. Esposito (Better Call Saul) | +3000
  • M. Kelly (House of Cards) | +3000
  • Alfie Allen (GOT) | +4000
  • Chris Sullivan (This Is Us) | +4000

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

  • Julia Garner (Ozark) | -130
  • Maisie Williams (GOT) | +300
  • Lena Headey (GOT) | +325
  • Fiona Shaw (Killing Eve) | +1500
  • Gwendoline Christie (GOT) | +1500
  • Sophie Turner (GOT) | +4000

Rest of the Slate

Outstanding Limited Series

  • When They See Us (Netflix) | -300
  • Chernobyl (HBO) | +200
  • Escape At Dannemora (Showtime) | +1500
  • Fosse/Verndon (FX) | +3300
  • Sharp Objects (HBO) | +3300

Outstanding Television Movie

  • Deadwood: The Movie (HBO) | -300
  • Black Mirror: Bandersnatch (Netflix) | +200
  • My Dinner With Herve (HBO) | +1500
  • Brexit (HBO) | +3300
  • King Lear (Prime Video) | +3300

Outstanding Variety Talk Series

  • Last Week Tonight With John Oliver (HBO) | -450
  • The Late Show With Stephen Colbert (CBS) | +275
  • Full Frontal With Samantha Bee (TBS) | +3300
  • Jimmy Kimmel Live (ABC) | +3300
  • The Daily Show With Trevor Noah (Comedy Central) | +3300
  • The Late Late Show With James Corden (CBS) | +3300

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series/Movie

  • J. Jerome (When They See Us) | -175
  • Jared Harris (Chernobyl) | +275
  • M. Ali (True Detective) | +400
  • S. Rockwell (Fosse/Verdon) | +1800
  • B. Del Toro (Escape From Dannemora) | +4000
  • H. Grant (A Very English Scandal) | +4000

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited Series/Movie

  • M. Williams (Fosse/Verndon) | EVEN
  • P. Arquette (Escape From Dannemora) | +130
  • Amy Adams (Sharp Objects) | +400
  • A. Ellis (When They See Us) | +4000
  • Joey King (The Act) | +4000
  • N. Nash (When They See Us) | +4000

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