Blake Daniels, June 14, 2022

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The Los Angeles Angels and Los Angeles Dodgers open a two-game set on Tuesday night at Dodger Stadium.

The Angels are 29-33 on the season and they are in third place in the AL West division. They are 12-15 on the road this season and have won only twice in their last 10 games played. The Angels fell to the New York Mets 2-1 in their previous series and lost Game 3 of that set 4-1 in their most recent game played.

The Dodgers are 37-23 on the campaign and they are on top of the NL West division team standings right now. They are 19-12 at Dodger Stadium this season but are struggling at 5-5 in their last 10 games played overall. The Dodgers got swept by the San Francisco Giants 3-0 in their previous series, including a 2-0 defeat last Sunday.

Los Angeles Angels

The Angels rank 10th in the majors in OPS at .724. They are led by center fielder Mike Trout who has been one of the best hitters in the league this season. Trout has an OPS of 1.026 with 16 home runs and 34 RBIs on the campaign. In his last seven games played, Trout is 7-23 with three home runs and 8 RBIs while striking out 8 times and walking twice.

Noah Syndergaard opens on top of the mound for the Angels. The 29-year-old right-hander is 4-4 in a total of 9 starts this season with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.19. Syndergaard has allowed a total of 19 earned runs on 45 hits with 30 strikeouts and 10 walks in a total of 46.1 innings pitched.

Syndergaard allowed only one earned run on 5 hits in 6.0 innings pitched in his last start. The Angels lost to the Boston Red Sox 1-0 with Syndergaard picking up his fourth loss of the season. The Angels are just 2-4 in his last six starts.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers are second overall with an OPS of .751 this season and are one of the majors’ top scoring teams at 5.15 runs per game. Right-fielder Mookie Betts has 39 RBIs and 16 home runs this season with an OPS of .892 while drawing 27 walks. Betts has posted a slash line of .298/.373/.558 with seven home runs and 18 RBIs with three steals when playing at home this season.

Starting for the home team will be Tony Gonsolin who has been outstanding this season with a record of 7-0 in 11 starts. The 28-year-old right-hander has an ERA of 1.58 and a WHIP of 0.86. Gonsolin has pitched in a total of 57.0 innings and has conceded only 10 earned runs on 31 hits with 54 strikeouts.

In his most recent start, Gonsolin pitched 6.0 innings while giving up one earned run on three hits. The Dodgers are 6-1 in his last seven starts with wins in his last 7 outings.

Who Wins?

Head to head, the Dodgers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played against the Angels. The Dodgers are also 5-1 SU in their last six home games against the Angels.

The Angels are:

• 6-20 in their last 26 overall.
• 0-9 in their last 9 road games.
• 3-7 in their last 10 interleague road games versus a team with a winning record.
• 5-16 in their last 21 games following a loss.
• 6-20 in their last 26 games on grass.
• 3-13 in their last 16 games as an underdog.
• 2-9 in their last 11 games following an off day.
• 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games.
• 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
• 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games against a right-handed starter.
• 2-12 in their last 14 versus a team with a winning record.
• 2-12 in their last 14 games against a right-handed starter.
• 1-7 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• 1-7 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• 1-11 in their last 12 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• 0-7 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
• 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
• 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games.
• 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• 0-8 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
• 0-7 in their last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

The Dodgers are:

• 84-40 in their last 124 overall.
• 45-15 in their last 60 home games.
• 21-6 in their last 27 interleague home games versus a team with a losing record.
• 39-13 in their last 52 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• 45-15 in their last 60 games as a home favorite.
• 45-15 in their last 60 Tuesday games.
• 38-14 in their last 52 interleague games against a team with a losing record.
• 124-47 in their last 171 home games versus a right-handed starter.
• 37-14 in their last 51 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• 26-10 in their last 36 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• 53-21 in their last 74 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• 52-21 in their last 73 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
• 38-16 in their last 54 interleague games.
• 38-16 in their last 54 interleague games as a favorite.
• 42-18 in their last 60 games following an off day.
• 28-12 in their last 40 against the American League West.
• 37-16 in their last 53 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• 43-19 in their last 62 Game 1s of a series.
• 134-61 in their last 195 against a team with a losing record.
• 35-16 in their last 51 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
• 42-20 in their last 62 interleague home games.
• 84-40 in their last 124 games on grass.
• 44-21 in their last 65 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
• 58-28 in their last 86 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• 82-40 in their last 122 games as a favorite.
• 1-4 in their last 5 games following a loss.
• 1-4 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Tuesday’s starters are heading in different directions as far as their matchup is concerned. Syndergaard is 1-3 with an ERA of 7.88 in his four starts on the road this season. Meanwhile, Gonsolin is 4-0 with an ERA of 1.0 in five home starts this campaign.

The Angels’ pitching staff ranks 17th in the majors with an ERA of 3.92 while the Dodgers’ staff is 3rd best overall with an ERA of 3.06. We’re not even talking about the difference in batting here. The Dodgers rank second in the league in runs scored, 2nd in on-base percentage, and 5th in slugging. Better offense plus having the better starter makes me go with the Dodgers here.

Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers

Angels vs Dodgers Over/Under Prediction

The total has gone over in six out of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these two teams. The under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings at Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Angels over/under trends:

• Over is 7-2 in the Angels’ last 9 road games.
• Over is 4-1 in the Angels’ last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 4-1 in the Angels’ last 5 Tuesday games.
• Over is 4-1 in the Angels’ last 5 Game 1s of a series.
• Over is 5-2-1 in the Angels’ last 8 games as a road underdog.
• Over is 5-2 in the Angels’ last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• Over is 9-4-1 in the Angels’ last 14 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 11-5 in the Angels’ last 16 vs. National League West.
• Over is 35-17-4 in the Angels’ last 56 interleague games.
• Over is 6-0 in the Angels’ last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
• Over is 7-0 in the Angels’ last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 4-0 in the Angels’ last 4 interleague road games.
• Over is 6-1 in the Angels’ last 7 games as an underdog.
• Over is 6-1-1 in the Angels’ last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Over is 5-1 in the Angels’ last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 5-1 in the Angels’ last 6 games following an off day.
• Under is 22-8-1 in the Angels’ last 31 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Los Angeles Dodgers over/under trends:

• Over is 10-3-3 in the Dodgers’ last 16 games as a home favorite.
• Over is 10-3-3 in the Dodgers’ last 16 home games.
• Over is 3-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 9-3-1 in the Dodgers’ last 13 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• Under is 4-1-2 in the Dodgers’ last 7 overall.
• Under is 4-1-2 in the Dodgers’ last 7 games as a favorite.
• Under is 4-1-2 in the Dodgers’ last 7 on grass.
• Under is 4-0 in the Dodgers’ last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 5-0-1 in the Dodgers’ last 6 games following a loss.
• Under is 3-0-1 in the Dodgers’ last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 4-0 in the Dodgers’ last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• Under is 24-3-1 in the Dodgers’ last 28 games following an off day.
• Under is 5-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 5-1-2 in Dodgers’ last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers’ last 8 interleague games.
• Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers’ last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
• Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers’ last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 19-8-2 in Dodgers’ last 29 Tuesday games.
• Under is 34-16-2 in the Dodgers’ last 52 during game 1 of a series.

Noah Syndergaard has conceded more than three runs in only two out of his nine starts this season. Tony Gonsolin has even been better as he’s allowed more than three runs only one time this season.

The Dodgers have one of the best offenses in baseball but they have struggled as of late, scoring just 3.17 runs per game in their last six games. The Angels have scored an average of 4.17 runs per game during the same period.

These teams have played to the under ten times in their last 14 meetings at Dodger Stadium. With solid pitching and some struggling scoring, this one should fall in the same category.

Prediction: Under 8.5