The Chicago Cubs visit the New York Mets on Monday at Citi Field on Monday night.
Chicago is 58-82 on the season and they are 3rd in the NL Central, 24.5 games behind the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 games played and head to this road series with back-to-back losses.
Meanwhile, the Mets are 89-52 on the year and are in first place in the NL East division. New York is just 1.5 games up on the Cubs and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games played. The Mets head to this set after back-to-back wins over the Marlins.
These two teams have played each other four times this season and the Mets have won three of those games. Chicago is just 28-40 on the road while the Mets are 46-23 at home. The Cubs are however 57-43 as betting underdogs while the Mets are 57-49 as betting favorites this season.
The Cubs are in a rebuild after trading their two best players in Rizzo and Bryant. With low expectations, the team is currently 24 games below the .500 mark and they have been playing bad baseball as of late.
Chicago is scoring an average of 4.07 runs per game this season, 23rd in the league. Ian Happ leads the team with 65 RBIs while also hitting 16 home runs. Patrick Wisdom leads the team with 22 home runs and he also has 58 RBIs this season. Meanwhile, Nico Hoerner is the team’s best hitter at .291 on the year.
Javier Assad will open on top of the mound for the Cubs. The 25-year-old right-hander has an ERA of 2.93 through 15 innings pitched this season. Assad however, was hit hard by the Reds in his last start as he conceded four runs in five innings pitched.
The Mets are currently in a dog fight with the defending World Series champions Atlanta Braves for the NL East. As of Sunday’s games, the Mets have a 1.5-game lead over the Braves in the division standings.
New York has scored a total of 666 runs this season, 5th most among MLB teams. They are 5th in team batting average of .259 and are second in OBP at .330. Pete Alonso has been the main man on offense as he leads the team with 109 RBIs and 33 home runs this year. Meanwhile, Jeff McNeil leads the team in batting average at .322 on the campaign.
On top of the hill for the Mets will be Chris Bassitt who is having his best year ever. Bassitt has a record of 13-7 with an ERA of 3.24. He is coming off a start against the Pirates where he allowed only one run on five hits in seven innings pitched.
The cubs are 2-6 in their last eight games played against the Mets. Chicago is 8-3 in their last 11 games played in New York.
Chicago Cubs betting trends:
New York Mets betting trends:
Bassitt is having a career season and he is pitching better at home than away from it. The right-hander has an ERA of 3.24 this season which drops to 3.84 on the road. However, Bassitt has an ERA of 2.77 at home with an OBA of .224 in New York this season.
Meanwhile, Assa’s high WHIP suggests that his ERA level should return to higher levels in the coming games. He also got hammered by a weak Cincinnati lineup in his last start, allowing four earned runs in 5.1 innings pitched, in a 7-1 loss.
The Mets are in a fight for the NL East Division and a first-round playoff bye. They are the team that has more motive to win this game. Bassitt has been better at home and so have been the Mets. New York has been inconsistent as of late but they have delivered when playing at home where they are 46-23. I like the Mets to win at home.
Prediction: New York Mets
The under is 6-2-1 in the last head-to-head meetings between the Cubs and Mets. The total has gone under in four out of the last five meetings between these two teams.
Chicago Cubs over/under trends:
New York Mets over/under trends:
Bassitt has pitched well at home this year and he will be facing a weak lineup in the Cubs. Meanwhile, Assad got hit hard in his last outing but overall, he’s been respectable and the Mets have been inconsistent.
This game will be played in a ballpark that favors pitchers. Neither team is hitting well right now and this should be a low-scoring contest. These teams have combined to score an average of 7.3 runs per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and 5.0 runs per game in their last three games played. This one should see the total hit under.
Prediction: Under 8
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