Division leaders collide when the Seattle Seahawks visit the Buffalo Bills at the Bills Stadium on Sunday.
The Seahawks are 6-1 this season and on top of the NFC West division. Seattle saw its five-game win streak end at the hands of division rivals Arizona but they bounced back with a win over the 49ers in their last outing. Meanwhile, the Bills are 6-2 on the year and leading the AFC East. The Bills have picked up back to back wins over the Jets and the Patriots are suffering back to back losses to the Titans and Chiefs.
The Seattle Seahawks look to increase their lead in the NFC West. Seattle is 6-1 on the season and they are up one game on the Arizona Cardinals. The Seahawks have been an excellent road team dating back to last season as they’ve dropped just two of their last nine away from home.
Russell Wilson is having a very productive season. He is completing 71.5% of his passes for 2,151 passing yards with 26 touchdowns and six interceptions. Wilson has thrown at least three scores in six out of his last seven games played. Chris Carson leads the Seahawks rushing attack with 323 yards on 66 carries with three rushing touchdowns. Meanwhile, DK Metcalf has caught 36 passes for 680 yards with seven touchdowns. The Seattle rushing attack is averaging 125.4 yards per contest.
The Seahawks defense is allowing 460.9 yards of total offense per contest. They are giving up 28.4 points per game this season. Bobby Wagner leads Seattle with a total of 74 tackles while Benson Mayowa has two sacks and Shaquill Griffin has a pair of interceptions.
The Buffalo Bills are off to a good start and they are looking for a big home win to keep their division lead. The Bills are currently at 6-2 and on top of the AFC East division, two wins, and one loss better than the second-place Miami Dolphins. The Bills have won six out of their last 10 games at home.
Josh Allen has thrown for 2,172 yards with 16 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. However, Allen only has two touchdown passes in his last three starts. Devin Singletary leads the team with 385 rushing yards on 93 carries with one rushing touchdown. Meanwhile, Stefon Diggs leads the receiving corps with 695 receiving yards on 54 catches with three touchdown grabs. Buffalo is averaging just 108.6 rushing yards per game this season.
On defense, the Bills are giving up an average of 24.9 points per game and 358.1 yards of total offense per outing. Jordan Poyer leads the team with 69 tackles while Mario Addison has three sacks and Matt Milano with a single pick. The Buffalo defense has allowed the 10th most total yards this season including the 5th most rushing yards. Their 11 rushing touchdowns conceded are second-most in the NFL.
The Seahawks are 6-1 SU in their last seven games played. Seattle is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games played on the road. The Bills are 6-2 SU in their last eight games played. Buffalo is 3-1 SU in their last four games played at home, 5-1 SU in their last six games against the NFC, and 7-1 SU in their last eight games played in November. Head to head, the Seahawks have won five out of the last nine meetings between these two teams including two of the last three.
Russell Wilson has 26 touchdowns this season and has a ridiculous 10.2% touchdown rate. That means that he’s producing at least one touchdown in 10 passes. With D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett probably the best receiver duo this season, there’s no doubt that Wilson will continue his touchdown spree this week.
Josh Allen threw 12 touchdowns and only one interception in his first four games. But Allen has been brought back to earth with four touchdowns and four interceptions in his last four games played. He’s not had a passing score in his last two starts. But he should bounce back with a good game here as the Seahawks rank second from the bottom in pass defense. With an equally impressive receiver duo of Stefon Diggs and Josh Brown, the Bills should be able to keep up with the Seahawks in a shootout.
The Seahawks are 10-2 in their last dozen games as road favorites while the Bills are just 2-9 SU in their last 11 games as home underdogs. The Seahawks have been a terrific road team since last season. Their offense should be good enough to carry them to victory in this game.
Prediction: Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the AFC, and 5-0 ATS in their last five games played in November. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last five games played. The Bills are 2-4 ATS in their last six games played at home. Head to head, the Bills are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against the Seahawks.
Seattle’s defensive issues have been masked by their terrific offense. They have covered the spread in five of seven games this season. Meanwhile, the Bills have struggled in their last four games as their defense has let them down, especially against the run. Allen was a difference-maker at the start of the year but he too is losing his edge. Seattle has been terrific on the road since last season and with Buffalo. This is a game that will be decided by the offense and the Seahawks have the better scoring prowess between these two.
Prediction: Seattle Seahawks -2.5
The total has gone over in six out of Seattle’s last eight games played. The over is 2-1 in their three road games played this season and also over in four out of their last five games against the AFC East. The total has gone over in six out of the last eight games played by the Bills. The over is 3-1 in Buffalo’s four home games played this season, 6-0 in their last six games against the NFC West, and 4-1 in their last five-week 9 games. Head to head, the total has gone over in each of the last nine games played between these two teams.
These teams have combined to score 55.67 points per game in their last three head to head meetings. Seattle has scored at least 31 points in all but one of their games and their lowest scoring output this season was 27 points. Their lowest total was 54 and they’ve gone past 60 points five times in seven games. The Bills defense has conceded 23 or more points in five of seven games played. This game has plenty of playmakers on both sides. The weather will be a factor but I still think that this game will be won by the offense.
Prediction: Over 55.5
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