The Washington Commanders head to Cowboys Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys in a Sunday showdown.
Washington is 1-2 SU on the season and they are at the bottom of the NFC East Division team standings. The Commanders have lost their last two games and are coming off a 24-8 loss to the soaring Philadelphia Eagles.
Meanwhile, the Cowboys were given up for dead when Dak Prescott got hurt in Week 1. But not only have they bounced back from that opening week defeat, Dallas has won back-to-back games heading to this Sunday contest. The Cowboys are 2nd in the NFC East division standings.
The Cowboys have beaten the Commanders seven times in their last 10 head-to-head meetings, including two out of the last three. Dallas blew out Washington 56-14 at the same venue in their most recent meeting last December 26, 2021.
After a solid win over the Jaguars in Week 1, the Washington defense has struggled, allowing an average of 30.0 points per game in their last two games played. Their offensive line also failed to protect Carson Wentz, allowing six sacks in the first half and seven for the entire game.
Wentz threw for 211 yards and a late touchdown but that did not matter as the damage had been done. Wentz also threw for 337 yards two weeks ago against Detroit but they still lost that game. He however has played well against Dallas, historically. Wentz has 14 TDs and just 4 INTs in 8 career starts against Dallas. His career passing rating against the Cowboys is a solid 95.7.
Antonio Gibson leads the Commanders with 124 rushing yads on 40 carries with 2 rush TDs. Meanwhile, Terry McLaurin leads the team with 235 receiving yards on 12 catches with one TD grab.
Many gave up on the Cowboys after losing Dak Prescott to injury in Week 1. However, the Cowboys have rallied behind back-up Cooper Rush and they have won back-to-back games. In two starts, Rush’s numbers haven’t been spectacular: 514 total yards in two games with just under 11 yards per completion.
But Rush does not need to be Dak Prescott for Dallas to win. In the last two weeks, he has done just enough to help the Cowboys win games. During Monday’s 23-17 win over the New York Giants, Rush threw for 215 yards and a fourth quarter TD to CeeDee Lamb to give the Cowboys the lead for good. He did not throw any interception in that game.
Ezekiel Elliott leads Dallas with 178 rushing yards on 40 carries with one rush touchdown. Noah Brown has caught 15 passes for 213 yards with 1 TD catch to lead the Cowboys in receiving. Trends indicate that WR Michael Gallup could make his return on Sunday. Gallup, who is dealing with a knee injury, was a full participant during Wednesday’s practice.
Washington is 3-9 SU in their last 12 games played against Dallas. The Commanders are 4-6 SU in their last 10 road games against the Cowboys.
Washington Commanders SU trends:
Dallas Cowboys SU trends:
Washington opened the 2022 season with a 28-22 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars as 3-point spread favorites. But since then, they have dropped back to back games to the Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles. Last week, the Washington defense allowed the Eagles to amass 340 passing yards with Jalen Hurts throwing for 3 TD passes. The Commanders are allowing 27.3 points per game this season.
Carson Wentz was sacked during last Sunday’s 24-8 defeat against the Eagles. Wentz finished the game with 211 passing yards with zero touchdowns, two fumbles, and one fumble lost. With Wentz struggling, Washington produced only 240 yards of offense. Terry McLaurin was the lone bright spot for Washington with six catches for 102 receiving yards.
Dallas’ looked horrible in opening week with the offense mustering just 3 points in a loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Worse, the Cowboys lost QB Dak Prescott to injury for at least a month. But instead of unraveling, Dallas defeated the Cincinnati Bengals 20-17 as 7-point home underdogs. On Monday night, they beat the New York Giants 23-16 as one-point road underdogs.
Cooper Rush hasn’t been great in his two starts for Dallas. However, he has been solid with 450 passing yards on 40-62 passing with two TD passes and zero interceptions in their two upset victories. Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard have been a huge help for the Cowboys as they combined for 47 total yards against the Bengals amd 180 total yards against the Giants.
Elliott and Pollard should have their way on the ground against a Washington defense that is ranked 21st in rushing defense at 128.7 rushing yards per game allowed. Dallas will score just enough points to win this game and cover the betting spread.
Prediction: Dallas Cowboys
The Commanders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played against the Cowboys. Washington is also 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Dallas. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven games played between these two teams.
The Commanders are:
The Cowboys are:
Without Prescott, Dallas knows that their defense will be the key to victory. The Commanders have one of the worst offensive lines in the league and they will be facing a Cowboys team that has an impressive defensive line and linebacking unit. Wentz has been sacked too many times already this season and the Cowboys defense are just going to add to that total.
The Commanders’ defense still has plenty of talent but without Chase Young, they have been very inconsistent. Dallas has been able to run the football with success. They should be able to continue to do that here. Cooper Rush’s confidence should be at an all-time high right now. Give me the Cowboys to cover the spread here.
Prediction: Cowboys -3.5
The total has gone over in 10 out of the last 13 games played between the Commanders and Cowboys. The over is also 7-0 in their last seven meetings in Dallas.
Washington Commanders over/under trends:
Dallas Cowboys over/under trends:
There’s no question that Cooper Rush is playing well right now but with a limited receiving corps, it’s most likely that the Cowboys will run the game with Elliott and Pollard. That running game is going to eat up plenty of time on the clock and should make this a low-scoring contest.
Meanwhile, the Washington offense hasn’t gotten going not with Carson Wenz getting sacks every now and then. With Lawrence and Parsons putting the pressure on Wentz all night long, the Commanders will find it hard to score as they will be forced to run the football.
Prediction: Under 41.5
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